Men's semi-final day continued our terrific form in the second week of Roland Garros with another perfect day. Ferrer easily disposed of Tsonga @ 1.75 which was terrific value as we stated yesterday. The match of the day though was undoubtedly the classic duel of Rafa Nadal v Novak Djokovic. I said yesterday that this would be a supremely close tie with Nadal emerging in 5 and that is exactly what transpired. Nadal was good pre-match value @ 1.70 and he was immense in the final stages when he needed to be. Djokovic put in a fantastic shift as well but Nadal just used all of his experience and big-match bottle to pull through when it mattered most.
Looking forward to the women's final tomorrow, I think Serena will win it, but I think it could be closer than expected. Sharapova last beat Serena Williams win 2004 and that is not a pretty stat from her point of view. Williams has been phenomenal this week, only once dropping a set, against Svetlana Kuznetsova, when we predicted the Russian to beat the handicap. Sharapova is available @ odds against tomorrow +5.5 games but I think I would rather recommend a small stake on over 2.5 sets @ 3.40 on Betfair. It is very possible that Sharapova could take a set tomorrow. I think she believes in herself so much these days and to be fair, she has been fantastic this fortnight too. Serena could well be nervous and I do think Sharapova moves well enough and hits the ball big enough to take a set. The key to her game is to serve well and be able to dictate the rally from the very first ball. If she can get Serena on the move then she has a chance. If she can't find her first serves and allows Serena to pummel her second serve every time then Sharapova stands no chance. Serena's weakness for me seems obvious: her movement. It is up to Maria Sharapova to exploit that. Take Serena to come through in 3, something like 6-2 4-6 6-3
I will preview the men's final between Rafa Nadal and DAVID FERRER tomorrow! Until then, over and out :)
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