Thursday at Roland Garros was another rain-ravaged day, which saw us finish with one win, one loss, and one null and void from our three selections. So, all in all, you could call it a bad day, certainly compared to yesterday where we had 4 from 4. Djokovic was at his brutal best against Guido Pella so we missed the handicap there, although I feel Pella didn't show up to an extent as well. Fognini hammered Lukas Rosol as we said he would. He is a far better clay courter and now goes on to meet probably the great Rafa Nadal where Fognini's run will come to a grinding halt. And then, lastly, Dimitry Tursonov retired when the second set tie-break was just about to get underway against Victor Hanescu, which was another disappointment.
Looking forward to tomorrow's tennis, we are going to be in for a jam-packed day to try get this schedule of play back on track. There are not many matches I have recommendations for but I will try my best with two or three:
Federer v Benneteau: Julien Benneteau has always given Roger Federer trouble. Their head to head stands at 4-2 to the Swiss, but of the four he won, he could have lost at least two of them. I am going to go for Benneteau to take at least one set tomorrow in front of his home crowd. Benneteau knows how to play Federer - he is always aggressive against him, and, much like when Federer plays Rafa, Roger sometimes makes unusual errors when he meets Benneteau. Benneteau, I must admit, is more of a threat on hard or grass than on clay, but I think a lay of Federer to win 3-0 @ 1.52 on Betfair is a very good value bet and one I will be going for. Roger in 4 or 5.
Tipsarevic v Verdasco: I am going to venture into a place this blog has never gone before by recommending Fernando Verdasco to win a match. I think his clay court credentials are far superior to an out-of-form Janko Tipsarevic, who has struggled to win any match since the Australian Open this year. Tipsy is not a clay courter and I have been impressed with Verdasco in Rome so I will recommend him to win this one @ 1.80 on Betfair.
Cilic v Troicki: I am recommending Viktor Troicki in this one because his SP is too big @ 4.50 on Betfair. He has won the last two encounters with Cilic, and he would be more suited to clay than the man from Croatia. Troicki's form has been improving, and, with an SP like this, you will be in a nice position to trade should he get up a set or two. Definitely worth a bet.
Seppi v Almagro: Much like the Cilic/Troicki match, I think the SP here is a little generous. This is a match which at first glance you would say Almagro should win. But, when you delve a little further, Seppi has never lost to Almagro, and Almagro has been under-performing all season on the clay courts. When Almagro has never beaten someone, much like his record v Youzhny, then it can get in on his head, and I think Seppi might spring a bit of a surprise tomorrow. The Italian's odds are 4.70 on Betfair and I can't pass that. Even if he gets up a set, you will have great trading opportunities, so take the 4.70 available on Seppi and roll with it!
Other winners tomorrow should include: Haas, Janowicz, Isner, Nadal, Gasquet, Ferrer, Raonic, Monfils, Simon and Tsonga. Hope it's a good day, keep an eye on it in-play, and trade out if you get a chance, particularly on Seppi and Troicki!
Over and out :)
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