This seems to be a tournament of upsets so far with all the Canadians pretty much winning all round them. Does that mean Rafa should watch his back today? Nah, Levine is not a real Canadian anyway.... but then again neither is Milos.
Here are today's matches:
Fognini v Gulbis: I can't possibly tip Gulbis @ 1.6 in this one. While I think he will stand up and be counted today, I think Fognini has found his range now on hard courts after a tough 3 setter with Baghdatis which ended 1-6 6-1 6-1 in favour of the ladies man. Gulbis is more than capable of beating him but he is no value @ 1.6 and Fognini actually represents the value here @ 2.6.
Paire v Wawrinka: This is a strange one between two genuine best friends! When that happens, you can throw the form book out the window. Paire is value @ 3.00 particularly as he has a match under his belt here in which he hammered Kohlschreiber. Wawrinka's form has been pretty suspect too.
Dolgopolov v Berdych: After taking out Kevin Anderson so comfortably, I am surprised to see that Dolgopolov is 4.1 for this one. I think that is a good bet in what is Berdych's first match in some time. Their only 2 previous meetings have come in Canada and both went to Berdych but in three sets so 4.1 is not without a chance.
Davydenko v Andujar: Nikolay scored a nice win over Gilles Simon in round one and he will have more than enough for Pablo Andujar here. I won't recommend a bet however as he is still Nikolay Davydenko and you would want your head examined to back him pre-match!
Youzhny v Raonic: this is a tricky one. Raonic is certainly still not back to his best and I think Youzhny might just be some value here @ 2.2 on the exchanges. Youzhny has been playing so well. He won Gstaad and beat Melzer in straights here yesterday. It might be worth taking on the home crowd and Milos the Missile in this one.
Granollers v Murray: Granollers surprised everyone with a straight sets win over Dimitrov in round one having just arrived from a clay court title in Kitzbuhel. He will give Murray a decent test and I would go with the Spaniard to cover whatever the game handicap is (probably +6.5). He will probably be good value to get a set too and he has beaten Murray already this year, albeit on clay. Murray will have a match on his hands here.
Enjoy the tennis :)
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