Today was a very very good day for the blog with 4 wins and only 2 losses for a 66% strike rate. The winners which I recommended in yesterday's blog were Pablo Carreno Busta (2.40) to beat Benneteau, Gulbis (1.61) to beat Nieminen, Korolev (3.15) to beat Baghdatis, and Monfils (2.10) to beat Melzer. Thankfully, three of those were very attractive prices and made for a very good day! The only losses were Machado (2.70) at home to Hanescu, and Berlocq at the hands of Albert Ramos. My thinking was that home advantage might sway the issue Machado's way but it was not to be on what was otherwise a great day with plenty of profit. Any day we can finish off with more money than we began with is a very good day and the gospel according to this blog!!
I am not as enamoured by tomorro's action, either in Munich nor in Portugal, but, as always, there are at least a few matches that stoke my interest. Looking at Munich first, of the four mens' matches, there are two which I would recommend for a bet. As offered in yesterday's blog, I think Ivan Dodig is certainly worth a bet at what I think is too high a price for what is bound to be a close match. Dodig is available onb the excahnges @ 5.10 and that is crazy for this match on this court. Dodig is a more natural clay court player than Cilic with his all round game pretty much based on defence. In the true sense of a derby, he will run Cilic - The Holy Man of Medjugorje - close, as their level head to head record would also indicate. The other match I am interested in in Munich tomorrow, is for Viktor Troicki to get the better of Radek Stepanek. The Worm has never been particularly comfortable on clay and I would recommend the 1.82 available on the resurgent Serb to progress here.
Strangely, there is no recommended bet for Portugal tomorrow. Under normal circumstances I would probably recommend Benoit Paire, but his price @ 1.70 is too short to beat a clay court specialist like Hanescu, especially given Paire's complete lack of effort and care-free style of tennis in his first round win over Igor Sjisling. Paire wore a hoody in that match (a first for me and indeed for tennis perhaps!) and looked as though he would rather have been anywhere else in the whole world. Given that performance, plus Hanescu's current form, I wouldn't be surprised to see Paire knocked out so I think it is safer to just steer clear on that one! I also think Fognini, Ferrer, and Carreno Busta will win in Portugal tomorrow but none of their prices appeal to me so they are not being recommended.
Enjoy the tennis tomorrow and I am glad I could give you a few winners and put us all in the green today! Until this time tomorrow, over and out :)
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