Tomorrow brings a final between the best two players in the world. Nadal is going for an historic and phenomenal ninth title in a row here while Djokovic is looking to win a title he has never won before. In all honesty, I didn't think we would be finishing the week with this final, given Nole's ankle problems, but, here we are and let's get analyzing!
I believe if both players went into tomorrow's match playing their best clay tennis on this particular court, then Rafael Nadal would win. As it stands, Nadal has played nowhere near his best tennis this week and I am feeling pretty certain that Djokovic can inflict a first defeat upon Rafa here since 2003. Nadal was vulnerable against both Tsonga and Dimitrov and, he won't have the luxury of looping moonball forehands to the backhand of Novak Djokovic as he did with those two afforementioned players. Djokovic played his best match of the week in his semi final against Fognini today and he will be confident going into battle against Rafa tomorrow. As memory serves me, these two haven't met since last year's Roland Garros final and this match will be a good curtain-raiser for another RG final in a few week's time.
Betting-wise, this has been a very good week, and, as such, I won't be getting too involved tomorrow. It is very hard to back against Nadal in general, particularly on clay and even more so on this court. I went for Nadal at 1.50 at the start of the week. He is still that price for tomorrow's final if anyone is interested. Personally, the only recommendation I will be making is to lay Rafa to win 2-0 @ close enough to even money (2.20) on Betfair, meaning you win the bet as long as Novak gets at least one set. This match is hard to call and not really one to bet on. Be observant tomorrow - we could be seeing a lot more of this match-up in the coming weeks! Nadal in three.
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