So last night was a great night of tennis but a mediocre one from a tipping point of view. Sometimes the first round of a tournament can be like that so hopefully it will beonwards and upwards from here. Benoit Paire was very disappointing last night, he didn't even muster a challenge against Federer. Benny Becker, Denis Istomin, and Gael Monfils all came through as advised but Zemlja still didn't look himself while Klizan failed to ignite once more despite taking the second set. Davydenko actually got me out of jail on the betting front when he went out to 1.8 after losing the first set to Dudi Sela.
Moving onto day 3, I have toned it down from the 6 or 7 selections of the previous two nights to just three for tonight. I fancy Xavier Malisse to take out Fernando Verdasco like he did in Wimbledon last summer. Malisse's form is better than Verdasco's plus he played only three short sets in round one while Verdasco had to come from 2-1 down to Goffin to win in five. That will have a bearing. I know I said I would never again back Jurgen Melzer but that is exactly what I am going to do! He is 1.93 to beat Roberto Bautista-Agut, who I would have priced as a 6/4 or 7/4 outsider against the Austrian. Melzer looked excellent in his first round with the loss of just four games while Bautista-Agut, like his fellow Spaniard Verdasco, needed to go the distance to see off Fognini. I will take the 1.93 on Melzer. Finally, Lukas Lacko has been in inspired form and I fancy him to make a good match of it against Janko Tipsarevic so I am going to lay the Serb to win 3-0 at odds of 2.02.
Elsewhere, Murray and Del Potro both looked excellent in their first rounds and it will be a fantastic game in the QF if they end up facing each other.
Recommended bets:
Jurgen Melzer to beat Roberto Bautista-Agut 2pts @ 1.93
Xavier Malisse to beat Fernando Verdasco 1pt @ 2.4
Lay Janko Tipsarevic to beat Lukas Lacko 3-0 1pt @ 2.02
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