hi everyone. today was turning into a very bad betting day for me until nikolay davydenko saved my bacon by pulverising soon-to-be world number four david ferrer in doha to leave me with a slight profit for the day and a great chance to collect on yesterdays tip at 5/1 outright (he is now 1.66). marcos and kei won as i said but i hadnt backed them and instead plumped for melzer to get the better of dimitrov mainly because i thought 3.05 was too big. i will never back the austrian again. elsewhere, marin cilic disappointed me massively by losing in the chennai qfs to benoit paire. i picked cilic outright there and also backed him myself in running today when he was a set down - he won the second six one but flattered to deceive and went down 7-5 in the decider. to make matters worse i was out and about so didnt even get the chance to lay off the bet when he was a break up in the third.
anyway, looking forward to tomorrow and the weekend, i am recommending a bet in each of the brisbane semi finals tomorrow. i will take baghdatis at 2.2 to take out mini federer in the first semi. marcos has always been at home in australia and looks to be in super form now. my second tip is a lay and is to oppose andy murray 2-0 in set betting v kei nishikori in the second semi. he has a pretty poor record against the scot but looks in great shape while andy dropped a set to millman and was involved in a close tussle with istomin.
i think davydenko is in absolutely sublime form and i am delighted to have tipped him outright yesterday. he will beat gasquet but i wont back it as i have enough down at much bigger odds.
recommeded bets: baghdatis to beat dimitrov 1pt @ 2.2ish (betfair) and lay murray to beat nishikori 2-0 for a liability of 1pt @ 1.68 (betfair) both atp brisbane
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